California is Kamala’s home state, so I guess it tracks.

Ah, well! Nevertheless,

I have to figure out the math on it, but I doubt that 2:1 is a good deal.

Follow-up edit:

• In New Jersey, as an example of a safe state for Harris, Fivethirtyeight has Harris winning in 993 out of 1000 simulated elections. Assuming the same turnout as 2020 of 4,549,457 votes, there’s a 0.500546 chance, on average, that a NJ voter will vote for Harris. I figured that out using the BINOM.DIST.RANGE function and the Goal Seek tool in Excel.
• In Michigan, with a turnout of 5,539,302 voters in 2020, Harris wins in only 605 out of 1000 simulations. Using the same tools above, if you randomly picked any Michigan voter, there’s a 0.500059 chance that he or she is voting for Harris.
• Using the BINOMDIST function with the assumed turnouts and the chances we determined that voters in each of the above states would go for Harris, there’s a 3.25986e-4 chance that Michigan is decided by a single vote. Likewise, there’s a 2.47681e-5 chance for the same in NJ. Based on the probability that it could shift electoral college votes, a Michigan ballot is distinctly more powerful than an NJ one.
• If you could could reliably convince one more person to vote like you in NJ, your chances of affecting the NJ outcome only increase to 2.48222e-5.
• For an NJ voter to match their chances of affecting the Michigan outcome, they would have to command about 1,925 votes besides their own. In other words, there’s an almost equal chance of a single vote Harris victory in MI as a 1,926 vote victory in NJ.
• Therefore, if a Michigan voter values their power, they should not trade their vote for anything less than 1,926 New Jersey votes. The rate should actually be greater to account for welching and Michigan having one more electoral vote than NJ.

It mostly makes sense. There are infamous examples of voting being de jure or de facto illegal for groups of people where their suffrage would likely cause significant change. Just look at the USA pre-Civil Rights Act, Rhodesia, Apartheid South Africa, and Israel. I’m sure there are others.

You assume that dolphins don’t already have democracy. If wild dogs have it figured out, then it’s certainly possible, even likely, that dolphins do too. Imagine what a pod of dolphins might vote to do with a land mammal that has the audacity to try and teach them democracy.

o7

Here’s a link to the paper referenced by the article. Not sure why it wasn’t included with the article. Anyway, this chart stood out to me:

Don’t believe or respect anyone who says the White House is working on a ceasefire deal. This administration has clearly been working on just the opposite.

I think I understand the spirit of your question, but the way you’ve worded it suggests that the law is immutable and/or that lawbreakers are necessarily evildoers. I interpret the question as “without incarceration, what do we do about those who do harm to others”. To that I would answer that we need institutions and programs that provide various types of care, support, and protection to people and that those who cause harm and do not provide restitution to their victims lose access to those institutions and programs. For example, if a child molester’s house burns down, the fire department would not be expected to try and save them. If it was arson then the arsonist might only get fined for creating an environmental hazard and putting adjacent buildings at risk. The lack of a carceral system would make funding available for the above programs and institutions.

If you would not have called Rhodesia or Apartheid South Africa the good guys then you should not consider Israel to be the good guys either.

Oh, gross. I don’t support any of the amendments.

Maybe. I don’t like Elon or Trump, but I wouldn’t begrudge anyone for entering a raffle for some of Elon’s money.

Is there any downside to signing up for the sweepstakes besides having to sign a pledge?

Neither. There’s plenty of room and resources here on Earth. I think it’s fine to do space exploration and even have research bases on moons and other planets, but I just don’t see the imperative for colonization.

I don’t have anything especially helpful to share, but maybe it’s not so widely known that anyone can run their own ActivityPub instance and avoid some of the collateral damage caused by other admins.

Whether or not THC affects thyroid hormones, weed use does not show up on a blood test for thyroid function.

I don’t know where you live or the relevant laws, but you should have confidentiality with your doctors and you should not have to hide any drug use from them.

Harris and the Democrats want to keep exterminating Palestinians at the risk of losing the election and all the subsequent consequences like court appointments. It’s demented.

Double entry bookkeeping.

Uh huh, and how do those numbers compare to the number of eligible voters who simply didn’t vote at all? Maybe the Clinton campaign should have just done better campaigning in those states, or offered a better platform.

The convos I’ve had haven’t been like that at all. Just normal stuff: talking about jobs, the beers we like, cool stuff we’ve gotten up to. Fellas, is it gay to be gregarious and enjoy the company of other men?

My wife and my buddy who is bi insist that I cannot have normal conversations with other dudes at the alleged gay bar we like to visit sometimes. They say that I am invariably being hit on, but I don’t notice anything like that.