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Cake day: July 13th, 2023

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  • The idea that actual swing voters, who are largely tuned out of 99% of available information, actually care about specific policies is overstated on all but a tiiiny subset of issues (which trans rights are not one of). Virtually no specific policy actually impacts electoral success on non-base turnout voting on its merits, it’s all campaign organization and media vibes, so I’d argue this is a false choice, largely. Nobody who isn’t already on a side cares about your platform, they care if you’re visibly embarrassed about your own platform (as democrats usually are about the 1% deviation from the GOP free market absolutism they dare in most cycles).


  • All political science research suggests moves like this are never a good idea. From the perspective of the campaign, they think they’re “taking the issue away” but there’s copious research about this specifically with immigration. What you’re actually doing is telling voters the other side had better judgement on this issue and you’ve come around to their wiser view. This both signals to low information voters the other side has a better grasp of the issue than you and dispirits your own side. If you dig into the numbers, this move has never worked for anyone ever. This is typical of the DNC political expert class who are objectively bad at their jobs on a Poli Sci 101 level.


  • At some point you assume the dam must break with US healthcare profiteering, but they always find another way (which is why I wanted Obama to follow up on his 2008 primary promise to do Card Check for unions and not less than Hillarycare Romneycare bullshit he ran against the premise of, literally saying “if you could solve healthcare by mandating buying coverage you could solve homelessness by criminalizing it”)